2009

Macroeconomic Forecast published in 2009.

ilustrace

Published

Survey of macroeconomic forecasts - November 2009

The last, 28th Colloquium took place in November 2009. Results of the survey are based on forecasts of 15 domestic institutions (Cyrrus, CNB, ČSOB, Generali, Chamber of Economy, Komercni banka, Liberal Institute, MoF, Ministry of Industry and Trade, Ministry of Labour and Social Afffairs, Patria, Raiffeisen, Union of the Czech and Moravian Production Cooperatives, UniCredit, Wood & Company). To make the survey more representative, forecasts of 3 international institutions were added (European Commission, IMF, OECD).

The aim was to assess key tendencies within the horizon of years 2009 through 2012 where years 2011 and 2012 were regarded as indicative outlook. The key indicators and comparison with October MoF forecast are summed up in Tables 1 and 2.

In general it can be summed up that MoF forecasts keep to the average of other institutions' forecasts but are slightly more pessimistic, not allowing for such a fast recovery of the economy.

  • Source: MF - Survey of macroeconomic forecasts - November 2009, published 11/2009, for download in PDF format

Published

Survey of macroeconomic forecasts - August 2009

27th Colloquium took place at the turn of July and August 2009. Results are based on forecasts of 15 domestic institutions (CERGE-EI, Cyrrus, CNB, Česká spořitelna, ČSOB, ING, Komerční banka, Liberal Institute, MoF, Ministry of Industry and Trade, Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs, Patria, Raiffeisen, Union of the Czech and Moravian Production Cooperatives, UniCredit). To make the survey more representative, forecasts of 3 international institutions, engaged in economic forecasts concerning the CR, were added (European Commission, IMF, OECD).

Respondents expressed their views of the economic developments in 2009 through 2012 where years 2011 and 2012 were regarded as an indicative outlook. Summary of key indicators and comparison with the Czech MoF's Macroeconomic Forecast from July 2009, which has been used to formulate macroeconomic framework of draft 2010 State Budget and Budgetary Outlook for 2011-2012, can be found in Tables 1 and 2.

  • Source: MF - Survey of macroeconomic forecasts - August 2009, published 10/2009, for download in PDF format