Macroeconomic Forecast

ISSN 1804‐7971
 

Macroeconomic Forecast

January 2012

 

Complete macroeconomic forecast for downloading

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1.pdf (638,48 KB)  

 

Risks to the Forecast

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_Risks_to_the_Forecast.pdf (80,67 KB)  
 

A - Forecast Assumptions

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_A.pdf (297,06 KB)  
 

B - Economic Cycle

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_B.pdf (154,48 KB)  
 

C - Forecast of the Development of Macroeconomic Indicators

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_C.pdf (169,04 KB)  
 

D - Monitoring of Other Institutions’ Forecasts

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_D.pdf (133,72 KB)  
 

Tables and graphs

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_Tables-Graphs.pdf (265,92 KB)  

 

C.1 Economic Output

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_Tables-Graphs-C1.pdf (142,78 KB)  
 

C.2 Prices

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_Tables-Graphs-C2.pdf (128,38 KB)  
 

C.3 Labour Market

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_Tables-Graphs-C3.pdf (142,62 KB)  
 

C.4 External Relations

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_Tables-Graphs-C4.pdf (142,44 KB)  
 

C.5 International Comparison

Macroeconomic-Forecast_2012-Q1_Tables-Graphs-C5.pdf (114,64 KB)  
 

Macroeconomic Forecast in a nutshell


 

Macroeconomic Forecast in a nutshell - January 2012

Structure of the presentation

  • Forecast Assumption
    • risks of the forecast
    • external enviroment
    • fiscal policy
    • monetary politicy, interest rates and exchange rates
    • structural reforms
  • Economic Cycle
  • Forecast of Macroeconomic Indicators
    • economic output
    • inflation
    • labour market
    • external relations

Source: MOF - Financial Policy Department, released January 31, 2012.

Macroeconomic-Forecast_in-a-nutshell_January-2012.pdf (322,17 KB)  
 

Preparation of the Macroeconomic Forecast


 

Evaluation of Forecasting History at the Ministry of Finance


 

Macroeconomic Forecasts at the MoF - A Look into the Rear-view Mirror

Macroeconomic-Forecast_Evaluation-of-Forecasting-History-at-the-Ministry-of-Finance.pdf (171,93 KB)  
 

Information


 
  • The Macroeconomic Forecast is prepared by the Financial Policy Department of the Czech Ministry of Finance on a quarterly basis. It contains a forecast for the current and following years (i.e. until 2013) and for certain indicators an outlook for another 2 years (i.e. until 2015). As a rule, it is published in the second half of the first month of each quarter.
  • Any comments or suggestions that would help us to improve the quality of our publication and closer satisfy the needs of its users are welcome. Please direct any comments to the following email address:  macroeconomic.forecast(at)mfcr.cz
  • Cut-off date for data sources: January 13, 2012.
 

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